The initial lockdown of the red zone towns in Italy has worked very well with new infections being reduced to zero. The countrywide lockdown is in the initial phase still and won't start showing any effect until the middle of next week at the very earliest. The lockdown is until 3 April but I fully expect it to continue well beyond.
The situation is dramatic. Hospitals are nearing saturation point because this virus is something new, the cases are in addition to all the usual diseases and illness they have to cope with in a normal winter. The virus is extremely infectious; in the majority of cases the symptoms are relatively mild, in a significant number of cases they are very serious and require hospitalisation and intensive care with artificial ventilation and intubation. The mortality rate here is currently around 7% (ordinary flu is 0.1%) and almost as many people are dying as are recovering in hospital. That mortality rate is going to drop of course when the numbers are revised to take into account the people who have contracted the disease but have recovered at home on their own. Before any herd immunity can take effect (if it does, the theory is disputed by many experts) tens of thousands if not hudnreds of thousands could die. Although the majority are elderly we have seen people in all age groups dying from Covid-19, with and without other underlying health problems. The NHS won't be able to cope - I've had recent experience of both the NHS and the Italian health service and I would choose Italy if had to be sick. My advice for what it's worth is to take all possible precautions as suggested by the UK government regarding handwashing and so on and add rigorous social distancing. Give up pubs, restaurants, public transport, crowded places, cinemas, theatres, gigs for at least, at least, a month (footy ain't coming back any time soon). Oh, and the seven day quarantine period is weird. As far as I've seen, and I have been shut up at home for the last 10 days with little to other than read the internet about coronavirus, the rest of the world reckons 14 days minimum as you can be infectious and asymptomatic. Sorry to bang on but it's important stuff and worth talking about...