KingsX Posted 25 February 2022 Share Posted 25 February 2022 1 hour ago, dsr-burnley said: XG has its uses, but it also needs taking with a large pinch of salt. For example, Man U 3 Burnley 1 earlier this season, xG was Man U 1.81 Burnley 0.87. The problem being that 0.58 of Man U's score was not generated by anything they did, but by something the Burnley keeper did. McTominey put in a fantastic shot from outside the box, xG 0.05. If it had gone in, the final "score" would have been Man U 1.23 Burnley 0.87, a close-ish game. But Hennessey in the nets pulled off a world class save, the ball hit the post, and bounced back to Ronaldo in front of goal who tapped it in. Add 0.58 to the score because of the Hennessey save. Did the Hennessey save really make Man U's perfornance better by half? Of course not. xG is misleading for that sort of thing. You get the same effect if a forward fluffs a penalty but puts in the rebound. A team that scores a penalty has xG about 0.8, a team that misses a penalty can have a much higher xG especially if the ball pings about a bit before going in. That’s the type of labored analysis we used to do to defend xG. Now it takes a lot of work to advance an anti-xG agenda. xG was always more meaningful over a longer sample size, so I am not arguing that it explains this or any other single match. But it is such a useful shorthand for more/better or less/worse chances. And over a goodly chunk of a season, it’s usually dead on. btw, our xG over this PL season has been hideous and we have fallen to a club ranking not seen since late Puel… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nicolo Barella Posted 25 February 2022 Share Posted 25 February 2022 If Leeds are relegated and we don't sign Raphinha, Congerton wasn't the problem 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhillippaT Posted 25 February 2022 Share Posted 25 February 2022 1 minute ago, Nicolo Barella said: If Leeds are relegated and we don't sign Raphinha, Congerton wasn't the problem If only it was that easy... 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fox92 Posted 25 February 2022 Share Posted 25 February 2022 7 hours ago, Nicolo Barella said: If Leeds are relegated and we don't sign Raphinha, Congerton wasn't the problem I hope we go for him but I think there will be a lot of interest, including abroad too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HankMarvin Posted 25 February 2022 Share Posted 25 February 2022 The sun is getting a bit graphic PEP TALK Nicolas Pepe demanded to play for Arsenal against Wolves just hours after wife Fanny gave birth 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaspa Posted 25 February 2022 Share Posted 25 February 2022 Interesting watching what happens to Everton, with their Russian connections Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wymsey Posted 25 February 2022 Share Posted 25 February 2022 Am sure it'll be an emotional but uplifting moment for him. https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/60528369 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CrispinLA in Texas Posted 25 February 2022 Share Posted 25 February 2022 (edited) If Che Adams was playing for ManU, Liverpool, Spurs, Chelsea etc you know he would have been in the England squad, instead of the Scotland team Edited 25 February 2022 by CrispinLA in Texas 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UniFox21 Posted 25 February 2022 Share Posted 25 February 2022 Don't understand posts like this, Saints took a few hammerings in last few years but have always been a decent Prem side 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Unabomber Posted 25 February 2022 Popular Post Share Posted 25 February 2022 7 minutes ago, UniFox21 said: Don't understand posts like this, Saints took a few hammerings in last few years but have always been a decent Prem side That guy is an absolute helmet 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MalletFox Posted 25 February 2022 Share Posted 25 February 2022 22 minutes ago, Unabomber said: That guy is an absolute helmet Yeah, but, whisper it quietly will ya!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UniFox21 Posted 25 February 2022 Share Posted 25 February 2022 Are they chanting about russian bombers at the Southampton game? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vacamion Posted 25 February 2022 Share Posted 25 February 2022 32 minutes ago, UniFox21 said: Don't understand posts like this, Saints took a few hammerings in last few years but have always been a decent Prem side I'm confused. Why write "whisper it quietly"? What is a whisper, if not quiet? Or have I been missing people going for loud whispers.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Unabomber Posted 25 February 2022 Share Posted 25 February 2022 Norwich are so poor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Super_horns Posted 25 February 2022 Share Posted 25 February 2022 6 minutes ago, Unabomber said: Norwich are so poor It’s a 1-0 hammering so far . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Super_horns Posted 25 February 2022 Share Posted 25 February 2022 12 minutes ago, UniFox21 said: Are they chanting about russian bombers at the Southampton game? From BBC: 10 russian bombers in the air" "Putin, you're a ****, Putin Putin you're a ****" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tuna Posted 25 February 2022 Share Posted 25 February 2022 Peach of a hit from Romeu. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vacamion Posted 25 February 2022 Share Posted 25 February 2022 Nice goal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NasPb Posted 25 February 2022 Share Posted 25 February 2022 What a strike Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isaidno Posted 25 February 2022 Share Posted 25 February 2022 Great strike but what was the keeper doing ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vacamion Posted 25 February 2022 Share Posted 25 February 2022 Waiting for all the fickle Hasenhuttl shouts in the post-Brendan thread. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest ttfn Posted 25 February 2022 Share Posted 25 February 2022 Closer to the relegation zone than 9th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David Hankey Posted 25 February 2022 Share Posted 25 February 2022 The 'Canaries' are doomed. 1 gone a further 2 to follow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stadt Posted 25 February 2022 Share Posted 25 February 2022 4 minutes ago, ttfn said: Closer to the relegation zone than 9th. Who could do better though! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winteriscoming Posted 25 February 2022 Share Posted 25 February 2022 Great result Norwich losing just need Watford and Burnley to lose at the weekend. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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