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Area88

Supercomputer predicts 13th Place finish for Leicester

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On 22/03/2023 at 01:17, Area88 said:

Well Respect Analytical Site - Predicts 13th Place for Leicester.

 

I hope this cheers everyone up. All have faith in the supercomputer.

 

We only have a 13% chance of relegation. That's a 1 in 10 chance thanks to the Supercomputer.

 

Southampton, Bournemouth and Nottingham Forest will get relegated instead.

What did it predict at the start of the season.....

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Song for the Supercomputer 

 

Sung to Super Trouper (obviously) 

 

Apologies to ABBA (and everyone else) 

 

The Supercomputer predicts we're gonna finish

As high as thirteenth 

I see Brendan with his lovely teeth

Shining like the sun

Smiling having fun 

Feeling like a number one

 

I was sick and tired of everything 

Because of that fraud we got from Glasgow

All I do is drink and wail and moan

Wishing every game was his last game

So I was glad to hear your calculations

Suddenly I feel alright 

And it's gonna be different 

When we're on the pitch tonight 

 

The Supercomputer predicts we're gonna finish

Higher up the league 

So I won't feel blue

Like I always do

And someone in the crowd will boo

  • Haha 2
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On 22/03/2023 at 10:06, Alf Bentley said:

I presume the apparently optimistic supercomputer prediction is largely based on our remaining fixtures:

- 5 of next 7 against teams in the bottom 9, plus potentially winnable Villa H, only Man City A as an "obvious" defeat

 

If we win 3-4 of those matches, their prediction/odds will be justified. If we just scrape 1-2 wins and the odd draw, our relegation odds will shorten markedly - and if we lose most of them, we'll be odds-on favourites to go down.

 

Our last 4 matches: Fulham A, Liverpool H, Newcastle A, West Ham H. 

You'd have to be an optimist to think we'll get even 4 points from those. I suppose Fulham might have nothing to play for by then, but neither our recent history (including season ends) nor Rodgers' track record suggest a strong finish. I certainly wouldn't be confident we have the character to get a result on the last day, if needed.

 

I presume fixture difficulty also explains the prediction that Forest go down but Palace finish 12th. Palace have a fairly easy run-in, but after the next 3 matches it's a bit of a nightmare for our much loved neighbours....

Our last 4 matches are not particularly difficult. How do you get the idea we'll scrape a couple of points. Let's not be dramatic here, we have an easy run to seasons end. If we go down we'll have no mitigation. 

 

Fulham - draw and possibly a win with them with nothing to play for

Liverpool - are shit this season and have awful away form. Win

Newcastle - hard to call but on paper our squad is just as good as theirs. Loss though. 

West Ham - relegation candidates like us at home - win

 

I make that 7 pts and it's hardly wildly optimistic. 5 if you downgrade our win vs pool to a draw. 

 

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