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Tuna

Election prediction time

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19 minutes ago, urban.spaceman said:

Winners: Labour

Seats: 456

Conservatives: 114

Lib Dems 29

SNP 12

Reform 1

Greens 3

Others: 35

 

I'm not sure the spanking will be THAT comprehensive.  But a spanking it shall be.

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Maybe I'm too much of an optimist about the descent of the Tories, or too much of a pessimist about the rise of Reform, but I think Ed Davey will be Leader of the Opposition (despite losing votes) by virtue of our electoral system. :fc:

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Labour minority - coalition with the SNP 

 

stopped following politics about two years ago so no idea really.

 

I think like me, a lot of 2019 conservative voters are probably a bit tired of them now. 
 

From what I have seen of Starmer, I have no confidence in him so i’m hoping there is a decent independent candidate to vote for otherwise I will spoil my ballot

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Tens of thousands of tory voters who said even they would vote labour this time... will suddenly find (be told by Murdoch) reasons to vote for the tories again.

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The new electoral boundaries make it harder for a labour win (surprise surprise).  They need a swing of about 13% for a majority of 1. 

 

I'm hoping for a large labour win, but I suspect it might be closer than people think, so I'm going for a majority of 23

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Labour landslide with Tories relegated to third party behind the Lib Dems, thanks to the magic of the FPTP they love so much.

 

One can only d:ream. :ph34r:

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