Election prediction time

[HighPeakFox]

17 minutes ago, David Hankey said:

And how do you think things will improve? Perhaps you can elucidate.

The point still getting missed. It isn't about your opinion, which is entirely valid -  just please don't co-opt mine!

 

I will wait and see what actually happens, rather than make my mind up before the fact.

[urban.spaceman]

On 27/06/2024 at 13:19, David Hankey said:

The trouble is and with a week to go we all know things won't get any better despite who is in No. 10.

 

52 minutes ago, The Doctor said:

I mean he is right though. there's an odd, and frankly almost cultish belief, that labour are lying to gain power and will be much more progressive in power but that will not happen. look at what labour are up to on the campaign trail and what they're saying. they could do so much to improve things: lift millions of children out of poverty instantly, reverse decades of privatisation and underfunding of the NHS, shore up workers rights. they've already ruled out all of those and have started to sabotage their own candidates for being too popular (Jovan Owusu-Nepaul in Clacton https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/jun/26/labour-not-putting-up-a-fight-against-farage-in-clacton) because they're ultimately a party run for people like John Caudwell, billionaire former Tory donor who supported Liz Truss:

 

note that he is insistent that Starmer and Liz Truss' platforms were not wildly inconsistent with each other and that he viewed Truss as the lesser of two evils. so, what was so objectionable about Sunak to him, you might ask:

 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cw00rgq24xvo

 

furlough. paying people during COVID. the one thing Sunak did that wasn't hugely harmful to working class people, that's what was unacceptable to this bloke. labour under starmer are managed opposition to ensure nothing meaningfully changes to upset the billionaires. given that most if not all problems people face ultimately stem from over 40 years of wages being suppressed and not growing in line with productivity and the rest of the economy, that means nothing will improve for people 

 

 

I've seen what the Tories have achieved destroyed in the last fourteen years and I've seen what Labour are hoping to achieve in the long term.

 

I'll quite happily, proudly take my chances with Labour.

[Daggers]

9 hours ago, Daggers said:

Hey Dave, where do the journos get their easy to digest election data so they can make confident predictions about likely winners and losers and seem all bright and stuff?
 

Here, this is where they go: https://inglesp.github.io/apogee/

 

3 hours ago, StanSP said:

 

 

It hurts when you realise your heroes have you on block 

[urban.spaceman]

The stupid **** put his leaflets out in Labour colours and forgot to make it clear that he was an independent.

 

 

****.

[ajthefox]

2 minutes ago, urban.spaceman said:

The stupid **** put his leaflets out in Labour colours and forgot to make it clear that he was an independent.

 

 

****.

I mean it says independent on it and does not say Labour.

I'm sure there will be a few who get confused but it's pretty obvious he isn't standing for labour.

[Otis]

7 minutes ago, urban.spaceman said:

The stupid **** put his leaflets out in Labour colours and forgot to make it clear that he was an independent.

 

 

****.

Was that the actual leaflet?

[Daggers]

Fvck the sherry drinkers, amirite?

 

 

[Daggers]

On that note, I’m announcing my retirement from wine drinking in order to spend more time with my ales.

[kingkisnorbo]

30 minutes ago, urban.spaceman said:

The stupid **** put his leaflets out in Labour colours and forgot to make it clear that he was an independent.

 

 

****.

Think it's pretty widely understood in North Islington that he isn't standing for Labour. I'm sorry, but you'd have to intergalactically dense not to know or realise that. 

[StanSP]

28 minutes ago, Daggers said:

Fvck the sherry drinkers, amirite?

 

 

Give me another half an hour and I'll post this too! 

[Zear0]

9 minutes ago, kingkisnorbo said:

Think it's pretty widely understood in North Islington that he isn't standing for Labour. I'm sorry, but you'd have to intergalactically dense not to know or realise that. 

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/jun/27/jeremy-corbyn-voter-confusion-islington-north

 

[RoboFox]

42 minutes ago, urban.spaceman said:

The stupid **** put his leaflets out in Labour colours and forgot to make it clear that he was an independent.

 

 

****.

I lived on Fonthill Road for years, about 100 yds from his now "Campaign HQ"

Unless it changed very recently, it's always been this strange "Fashion Centre" for garish hats and wedding dresses. Kinda weird place for a base. I suppose its just office space. 

[Footballwipe]

1 hour ago, urban.spaceman said:

 

I've seen what the Tories have achieved destroyed in the last fourteen years and I've seen what Labour are hoping to achieve in the long term.

 

I'll quite happily, proudly take my chances with Labour.

Corbyn cultists desperate for a Labour government to fail so they can say "told you so" because they're only actually any good at saying "told you so" or shouting from the wings of irrelevancy.

 

One day in power and a Corbyn govt would've shit themselves almost immediately.

[kingkisnorbo]

3 minutes ago, Zear0 said:

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/jun/27/jeremy-corbyn-voter-confusion-islington-north

 

Fair, I'd assumed since it's such a strong Labour seat that they'd be informed well as an electorate on their most well known political figure. 

[Zear0]

1 hour ago, Daggers said:

Fvck the sherry drinkers, amirite?

 

 

Lack of Mad dog has really scuppered the SNP vote. 

[grobyfox1990]

1 hour ago, urban.spaceman said:

The stupid **** put his leaflets out in Labour colours and forgot to make it clear that he was an independent.

 

 

****.

Hahah, apart from the huge, highlighted and capitalised INDEPENDENT in the leaflet, I'd assume everyone in his constituency will know he is an independent or must be an ostrich. Second paragraph also clearly states that he is an independent. Weird thing to get angry and sweary about 

[urban.spaceman]

59 minutes ago, kingkisnorbo said:

Think it's pretty widely understood in North Islington that he isn't standing for Labour. I'm sorry, but you'd have to intergalactically dense not to know or realise that. 

Here's one of his intergalactically dense followers trying to make it clear the Islington North voters that he's no long the Labour candidate:

 

 

 

 

[urban.spaceman]

15 minutes ago, grobyfox1990 said:

Hahah, apart from the huge, highlighted and capitalised INDEPENDENT in the leaflet, I'd assume everyone in his constituency will know he is an independent or must be an ostrich. Second paragraph also clearly states that he is an independent. Weird thing to get angry and sweary about 

 

Just now, urban.spaceman said:

Here's one of his intergalactically dense followers trying to make it clear the Islington North voters that he's no long the Labour candidate:

 

 

 

 

Apologies, only got sweary about it because he's a ****.

[Bellend Sebastian]

1 hour ago, Daggers said:

Fvck the sherry drinkers, amirite?

 

 

Whisky drinkers uncomfortably close to letting the side down, what the hell are you doing? 

 

Academic really as I expect this is in reality just an exercise to identify IPA drinkers with a view to them being tracked down and killed

[Daggers]

29 minutes ago, Bellend Sebastian said:

Whisky drinkers uncomfortably close to letting the side down, what the hell are you doing? 

 

Academic really as I expect this is in reality just an exercise to identify IPA drinkers with a view to them being tracked down and killed

They’ve yet to invent a weapon that can penetrate the wall of smug around an IPA drinker.

[Daggers]

39 minutes ago, urban.spaceman said:

Here's one of his intergalactically dense followers trying to make it clear the Islington North voters that he's no long the Labour candidate:

 

 

 

 

As of the 26th, not remotely fvcking close

 

 

[Paninistickers]

Well done to Rishi Sunak for publicly repeating 'p4ki' (using 4 as dunno if it'd get wiped) to highlight and magnify its offensiveness. 

 

I like Sunak. Or at least i like things about him. He's had an absolute hospital pass of a party (that didn't even want him) thanks to those genuine idiots Truss and Johnson. 

 

He'll be a loss to front line politics. 

 

Socially awkward. A little out of step. Politically not that shrewd. But a good chancellor, a fighter, genuine intellect,  and a decent dress sense ,- I like his well tailored suits and shirts! 

 

 

 

 

[Lako42]

36 minutes ago, Daggers said:

They’ve yet to invent a weapon that can penetrate the wall of smug around an IPA drinker.

Because we are better than most people. 

 

Deal with it you pleb 

[Unabomber]

I thought Andrew Bridgen was reform or did he get kicked out of them too? Had a leaflet from him today but he’s independent now. 

[Tuna]

1 minute ago, Unabomber said:

I thought Andrew Bridgen was reform or did he get kicked out of them too? Had a leaflet from him today but he’s independent now. 

Reclaim, Laurence Fox's 'party'