Election prediction time

[leicsmac]

Two observations:

 

- considering the polls earlier giving Labour a majority of 220-250 (sometimes even more), this exit poll having Starmer not eclipse Blair is interesting

- Reform getting 13 seats is either a sign of things to come, or an oncoming storm (part of a much larger one, come to that) that may be avoided in five years time.

[Voll Blau]

Just now, EnderbyFox said:

Is that less of a landslide than 1997?

Only slightly.

[goody2028]

Rishi Sunak your boys have took one hell of a beating 

[Daggers]

5 minutes ago, Izzy said:

Exit poll any second now. Daggers and Spaceman ready to blow their loads 

 

5 minutes ago, Zear0 said:

Daggers been going for six weeks now. Be grateful for the climax. 

 

[martyn]

Did not have Reform getting more seats than the SNP on my bingo card.

[Mark_w]

2 minutes ago, Tuna said:

SNP wipeout has really surprised me

They've had pretty much 5 years of bad press that's only been topped by the Conservatives to be fair

[FoxesWalk]

If 131 seats for the Tories is right it will be their worst result since they were formed in 1834.

 

People here suggesting that it’s a good result for them 😂

Edited 4 July by FoxesWalk

[kingkisnorbo]

1 minute ago, leicsmac said:

Two observations:

 

- considering the polls earlier giving Labour a majority of 220-250 (sometimes even more), this exit poll having Starmer not eclipse Blair is interesting

- Reform getting 13 seats is either a sign of things to come, or an oncoming storm (part of a much larger one, come to that) that may be avoided in five years time.

I think Sunak gets the boot and the party move further to right to hoover back up the voters/members that have moved over to Reform. Shadow cabinet made up of the far right leaners like Braverman. 

[Guest Col city fan]

3 minutes ago, EnderbyFox said:

Is that less of a landslide than 1997?

Yes just apparently 

[Vacamion]

 

If it's anywhere near accurate, it's almost as bad for the SNP as it is for the Tories.

 

 

[Zear0]

18% swing in Scotland, biggest gain for Labour. SNP made an absolute pigs ear of last year or so. 

[Lako42]

1 minute ago, FoxesWalk said:

If 131 seats for the Tories is right it will be their worst result since they were formed in 1834.

But still better than it should have been. 

 

 

Iif NW Leic have voted these hideous ****s in again I'll cry 

[Guest Col city fan]

3 minutes ago, goody2028 said:

Rishi Sunak your boys have took one hell of a beating 

The Tories worst ever collapse apparently if polls are accurate 

[The Doctor]

18 minutes ago, Izzy said:

You're not voting for Starmer. This isn't the US presidential election.

in effect you are, because you're gonna make him prime minister. I can see the argument for voting for decent candidates even if the party leader is shit, it's why I'd hold my nose and vote labour if I was in Coventry South or Edinburgh South West, or Tories if I was in Canterbury, but fact of the matter is a vote for Labour is ultimately a vote to give Starmer a majority 

[UniFox21]

4 minutes ago, Mark_w said:

They've had pretty much 5 years of bad press that's only been topped by the Conservatives to be fair

I'd say their bad press has been worse. 

 

Sturgeons garden being dug up for evidence? 

Alex salmons assault charges 

[Izzy]

Blyth and Sunderland running around like nutters 

[Guest Col city fan]

Reform look like getting 13 seats which is a bigger share of the vote (not sure how that works?) than the Lib Dems

[Zear0]

IDS, Baker and Shapps heading for the door. Beautiful. 

[adam]

Nadine Dorries absolutely knackering the C4 coverage

[Tommy Fresh]

Channel 4 is superb

[StriderHiryu]

Reform with 13 is scary and could sadly be a sign of things to come...

[Paninistickers]

3 minutes ago, FoxesWalk said:

If 131 seats for the Tories is right it will be their worst result since they were formed in 1834.

 

People here suggesting that it’s a good result for them 😂

Well, it's better than it might have been. 

 

In football terms it's 6-0 defeat as opposed.to 10-0. 

 

 

[StanSP]

4 minutes ago, FoxesWalk said:

If 131 seats for the Tories is right it will be their worst result since they were formed in 1834.

 

People here suggesting that it’s a good result for them 😂

I had them closer to 100 personally. 

[Lako42]

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/cd1d6v478ypt#player

 

 

Local coverage of the entire county 

[Guest Col city fan]

Discussion around whether people have really voted for Labour or voted against the Tories.

That’ll come out more as we go along