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filbertway

Betting Thread

By filbertway, in General Football and Sport

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ScouseFox

ScouseFox

Posted
Posted

got some profit on the horses so put it all on man city and real in a double at about 50 minutes in, i'm gonna say it was maybe 10 seconds until city conceded and that was another bet out the window lol. total write off this weekend and if city/real don't win then i ain't re-depositing for the rest of it, gonna use my money more wisely and go out and get blitzed. 

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Matt

Matt

Posted
Posted

I know i've mentioned this before but there is less and less value when it comes to betting nowadays, the odds seem to get shorter and shorter but personally I think the 'gap' between shit teams and good teams is also getting smaller, there are more and more upsets nowadays, certainly this season imo.

 

TBH you're probably better backing outsiders, although I don't think i'd ever put that into practise, I might do it 'virtually' over a few months to see what kind of margin there is.

 

Well I think it's fair to say if you backed outsiders this weekend you'd be in profit, I know it's been the cup, the prices have been bigger and upsets in the cup happen but if you backed Cambridge or Draw (Or just the draw) you'd be in the money - Not sure what the odds were, Middlesborough were 9/1 to win at Man City, Bradford would have been great odds, Blackburn won.

 

I know hindsight is a wonderful thing but backing outsiders recently really does seem the way forward, just not sure whether I have balls to do it, for example i'm thinking of lumping on Liverpool tonight but no doubt Bolton will **** me over.

 

Based of a pound stake backing the underdogs for all the F.A Cup games played so far this weekend (Bookmaker - Bet365):

Cambridge 0-0 Man Utd - £1 on Cambridge/Draw = (4/1) £5 return.

Blackburn 3-1 Swansea - £1 on Blackburn/Draw = (2/1) £3 return.

Tottenham 1-2 Leicester - £1 on Leicester/Draw = (Evens) £2 returns.

Sunderland 0-0 Fulham - £1 on Fulham/Draw = (5/4) £2.25 returns.

Southampton 2-3 Crystal Palace - £1 on Crystal Palace/Draw = (13/10) £2.30 returns.

Preston 1-1 Sheff Utd - Hard to call an 'outsider' in this game so not taking it into account.

Man City 0-2 Middlesborough - £1 on Middlesborough/Draw = (5/2) £3.50 returns.

Chelsea 2-4 Bradford - £1 on Bradford/Draw = (11/2) £6.50 returns. (A mahoosive 28/1 for a Bradford win)

Cardiff 1-2 Reading - Again hard to call an 'outsider' in this game so not taking it into account.

Birmingham 1-2 West Brom - £1 on Birmingham/Draw = (4/5) £0.00 returns.

 

So outlay = £8

Returns = £24.55

Profit = £16.55

 

And thats based on Double Chance bets not even outsiders to win outright.

 

But 7 games out of 10 there has been a surprise result in these games, 2 of which were pretty even games and wouldn't have classed either team or any result a surprise, there has only been 1 result that went to form.

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Matt

Matt

Posted
Posted

Also had a spectulative 'outsiders' silly £1 treble;

Man City v Middlesborough (Really got a feeling Boro are gonna do City over, hope they do aswell, obviously)

Tottenham v Leicester (Not really sure we're gonna win, don't think we will tbh but 4/1 in a silly £1 treble, why not, we're capable enough)

Aston Villa v Bournemouth  (Villa are shite, Bournemouth have a great chance)

£1 returns £143.75

 

Come on then Bournemouth!! All down to you tomorrow :fc:

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Matt

Matt

Posted
Posted (edited)

Well I think it's fair to say if you backed outsiders this weekend you'd be in profit, I know it's been the cup, the prices have been bigger and upsets in the cup happen but if you backed Cambridge or Draw (Or just the draw) you'd be in the money - Not sure what the odds were, Middlesborough were 9/1 to win at Man City, Bradford would have been great odds, Blackburn won.

I know hindsight is a wonderful thing but backing outsiders recently really does seem the way forward, just not sure whether I have balls to do it, for example i'm thinking of lumping on Liverpool tonight but no doubt Bolton will **** me over.

Based of a pound stake backing the underdogs for all the F.A Cup games played so far this weekend (Bookmaker - Bet365):

Cambridge 0-0 Man Utd - £1 on Cambridge/Draw = (4/1) £5 return.

Blackburn 3-1 Swansea - £1 on Blackburn/Draw = (2/1) £3 return.

Tottenham 1-2 Leicester - £1 on Leicester/Draw = (Evens) £2 returns.

Sunderland 0-0 Fulham - £1 on Fulham/Draw = (5/4) £2.25 returns.

Southampton 2-3 Crystal Palace - £1 on Crystal Palace/Draw = (13/10) £2.30 returns.

Preston 1-1 Sheff Utd - Hard to call an 'outsider' in this game so not taking it into account.

Man City 0-2 Middlesborough - £1 on Middlesborough/Draw = (5/2) £3.50 returns.

Chelsea 2-4 Bradford - £1 on Bradford/Draw = (11/2) £6.50 returns. (A mahoosive 28/1 for a Bradford win)

Cardiff 1-2 Reading - Again hard to call an 'outsider' in this game so not taking it into account.

Birmingham 1-2 West Brom - £1 on Birmingham/Draw = (4/5) £0.00 returns.

So outlay = £8

Returns = £24.55

Profit = £16.55

And thats based on Double Chance bets not even outsiders to win outright.

But 7 games out of 10 there has been a surprise result in these games, 2 of which were pretty even games and wouldn't have classed either team or any result a surprise, there has only been 1 result that went to form.

Another outsider result comes in

Liverpool 0-0 Bolton - £1 on Bolton/Draw = (11/4) £2.72 returns.

Outlay = £9

Returns = £27.27

Profit = £18.27

Nice one Matt. Bournemouth should get something tomorrow tbf.

Cheers, hopefully, Villa are dogshite.

Edited by Matt
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